Skeptical Science New Research for Week #5 2025

Open access notables Revisiting the Last Ice Area projections from a high-resolution Global Earth System Model, Fol et al., Communications Earth & Environment: The Last Ice Area—located to the north of Greenland and the northern Canadian Arctic Archipelago—i…
Paul Bartoletti · about 1 month ago · 3 minutes read


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Skeptical Science New Research Highlights: Week #5 2025

Arctic Ice Under Pressure: A High-Resolution Look

New high-resolution simulations from the Community Earth System Model paint a concerning picture of the Arctic's "Last Ice Area." This region, north of Greenland and the Canadian Arctic Archipelago, was predicted to endure even as the central Arctic becomes seasonally ice-free. However, these new simulations, which factor in sea ice export through narrow waterways, reveal a potential rapid decline. Under a high-emissions scenario, the Last Ice Area's ice could vanish just a decade after the central Arctic becomes seasonally ice-free, posing a dire threat to ice-dependent species.

Fol et al., Communications Earth & Environment

Public Perception of Climate Intervention Technologies

A global survey and focus groups across 22 countries explored public views on experts and climate intervention technologies (like carbon removal and solar geoengineering). The research reveals who the public considers experts in this domain and what their roles should be in governing these complex technologies. It delves into the dynamics of public trust and distrust in scientists, especially concerning these controversial approaches.

Fritz et al., Environmental Science & Policy

Climate Change Education: A Critical Review

A comprehensive review of literature (2008-2023) on climate change education uses human coding and natural language processing to map the field. This work emphasizes the crucial role of education in fostering climate action, identifying key themes like effective learning, sustainable development, and adaptation/resilience. Emerging themes include youth empowerment, transformative education, and energy literacy.

Muccione et al., PLOS Climate

The Economic Benefits of Renewables

A study simulating European power markets under 2030 projections shows the stabilizing influence of renewable energy on electricity prices. Renewables, particularly exceeding deployment targets, can moderate price spikes, offering a social welfare gain - an "insurance value" not typically factored into market mechanisms or energy policy decisions. This suggests a need to explicitly consider this value.

Navia Simon & Diaz Anadon, Nature Energy

Polarized Perspectives on Energy in Sweden

A survey of over 5,000 Swedes reveals deep polarization in energy preferences, particularly regarding wind and nuclear power. Worldviews, political leanings, and environmental concern heavily influence support or opposition for these low-carbon options. Interestingly, proximity to proposed wind or nuclear projects lessens support across the board but most dramatically for those with traditionally conservative values.

Lindvall et al., Energy Policy

Climate Change and Displacement in Somalia

Research examining climate's impact on Somalian migration reveals the complex interplay of environmental and demographic factors. Rainfall positively influences net migration, while rising CO₂ emissions hinder it due to environmental degradation. Population growth adds pressure to migrate, while temperature shows surprisingly little effect, possibly due to existing adaptation strategies.

Mohamed et al., Frontiers in Climate

Optimizing Coastal Infrastructure Adaptation

Traditional climate risk management often relies on static mitigation policies based on simulations. This research introduces a dynamic approach using Markov Decision Processes and Partially Observable MDPs to incorporate real-time data and evolving conditions. This allows for adaptive, life-cycle actions for coastal infrastructure with optimized responses to actual climate trajectories.

Bhattacharya et al., Nature Communications

Accessing Research: Overcoming Paywalls

Frustrated by paywalled research? Unpaywall provides a free browser extension (Chrome and Firefox) that can unlock access to a surprising number of articles, boasting a roughly 50% success rate. Be sure to check the link even if an article isn't marked "open access" here, as the Unpaywall database is constantly updated.

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